The Malaysian Airlines flight vanished after it diverted course on March 8, 2014 – debris has since washed up in Madagascar but the mystery remains unsolved.
Professor Martin Kristensen, an engineer at Aarhaus University in Denmark, has published a new mathematical analysis of the plane’s radar and satellite data, reports News.com.au.
He says that MH370 can only have gone down where the boundaries of speed, fuel and signals all "overlap".
The Dane believes that Christmas Island near Jakarta is a possible crash site which has yet to be indentified.
“We find four independent solutions with the final part of the flight following a great circle,” his research paper declares.
Two of these could immediately be dismissed.
One was over India while the other is China. Both would have taken the Boeing through radar and mobile phone networks.
And neither site would produced the debris found washed up on Indian Ocean shores.
A third location conforms with the area already searched. But, despite two extensive — and expensive — searches, no trace of the aircraft has been found there.
But the fourth probable site has not been investigated.
“Our best solution leads to an entirely different location agreeing with other data from debris, acoustics and an eyewitness report, providing a clear conclusion where to find the plane,” Kristensen said.
The final patch of the Earth’s surface which lines up with all of MH370’s flight parameters sits in the Indian Ocean to the southwest of Australia’s Christmas Island.
To get there, MH370 must have done an abrupt U-turn in the Bay of Bengal, and then flown along the south coast of Indonesia.
Kristensen points to the unexplained nature of the barnacles found on MH370s debris as conforming with a crash in the nutrient-poor but warm waters off Indonesia, before entering the colder West Australian Current.
He argues that the course and behaviour of MH370 points towards a carefully planned attempt to deliberately conceal the aircraft’s course.
“There is also something special about the Christmas Island route going through the intertropical convergence zone where satellite detection and long-range radar are hampered by tropical thunderstorms, indicating intelligent planning,” he writes.
The engineer then speculates about what happened to the troubled plane.
He writes: “Most likely the perpetrator(s) also knew about the handshakes and deliberately directed and timed the flight to get close to the worst possible mathematical data-entanglement with satellite movement through spatial correlation…
“…making it almost impossible to find the plane because this allows for a multitude of solutions with similar fitting quality.
“The only plausible explanations are that they wanted to land in Banda Aceh or abort the flight by parachute,” Kristensen writes.
“Since the aeroplane did not land, the only option is parachuting.
“In order to do this they had to fly low and slow … to open a hatch and get out.
“They programmed a return to normal flying-height into the autopilot before jumping.
“Therefore the plane returned to 11km height after Bandar Aceh without a pressurised cabin (due to the leak through the open hatch) causing death for everybody on board who might still have been alive.”
A version of this article originally appeared on News.com.au.
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