Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and best bets

The Denver Nuggets (28-12) visit the slumping Golden State Warriors (9-33) Thursday at the Chase Center for a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off (on TNT). We analyze the Nuggets-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

The Nuggets beat the Charlotte Hornets 100-86 at home Wednesday, but PG Jamal Murray exited late in the second quarter after rolling his ankle.

The Warriors have dropped nine in a row – the last setback occurring Tuesday with a 124-97 shellacking by the Dallas Mavericks at home.

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.

Nuggets at Warriors: Key injuries


  • C Bol Bol (foot) out
  • SG Gary Harris (groin) questionable
  • PF Paul Millsap (knee) questionable
  • SG Jamal Murray (ankle) questionable


  • PG Stephen Curry (hand) out
  • SG Jacob Evans (face) questionable
  • PF Kevon Looney (abdominal) out
  • SG Klay Thompson (knee) out

Nuggets at Warriors: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.


Nuggets 109, Warriors 99

Moneyline (ML)

Denver (-200) is costly. Every $2 wagered on the Nuggets to win will profit only $1. The Warriors (+165) offer a 1.65-to-1 payout, but I’ll PASS. I can’t back a team on a nine-game losing streak. Golden State is 6-14 at home, while Denver is 11-7 on the road.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS ( -4.5, -115) are worth a small play despite possibly missing three starters – reserve PF Michael Porter Jr. scored 19 points Wednesday, while PG P.J. Rozier added 12 points as Murray’s replacement in the second half. Meanwhile, the Warriors have only been within 8 points twice during their nine-game skid and they’ve dropped their last two games by a combined 47 points.

New to sports betting? Every $1.15 wagered on the Nuggets spread will profit $1 if they win by 5 or more points.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 213.5 (- 106) is the STRONGEST PLAY. Golden State ranks 28th in scoring at 104.5 points per game; Denver is 20th at 108.9 PPG. As for O/U records, the Warriors are 17-25 on the season, and the Nuggets are 17-23. Toss in that both teams are missing players due to injuries and the Under looks pretty, pretty good.

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Johnny’s January record: 11-6-1. Since Dec. 1: 33-16-2.

January strongest plays: 7-2. Since Dec. 1: 18-5.

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