2022 NBA playoffs: Betting tips for Tuesday’s Game 2 matchups

Jump ahead: Game of the night | Picks and props | Analytics edge

What you need to know for Tuesday’s playoff games

Ice Trae Set To Thaw?: Trae Young was held to a season-low eight points (1-of-12 from the field) in Sunday’s Game 1 loss to the Heat with more turnovers (6) than assists (4). But he is rarely shut down in consecutive games. He was held to 15 points on five occasions during the regular season and averaged 31.2 points and 9.2 assists the following game.

Don’t Get Too Cute: The Suns are the biggest favorite on the board Tuesday. While Phoenix is 24-3 outright when favored by more than eight points this season, it is only 14-13 ATS in those games. If you are looking for New Orleans exposure, there’s no shame in taking the points.

Back On My Grizzlies: Did the Grizz burn you in Game 1? It’s very possible that may prove to be an outlier. Memphis won 15 of their final 17 regular season games when favored at home, so while they fell short Saturday, they still are in a good spot to come away with a win tonight.

— Jim McCormick

Game of the night

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat
7:30 p.m. ET, FTX Arena, Miami

Line: Heat (-7.5)
Money line: Heat (-330), Hawks (+260)
Total: 217.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 215.5 points
BPI Win%: Heat (79.4%)

Key players ruled out: Clint Capela, John Collins

Best bets: Over 217.5 points; Heat (-7.5). The Hawks and their opponents have gone over 216 points in their past 22 games. Both teams have a number of offensive playmakers and the Heat rank 11th in points scored per 100 possessions and accumulate a ton of offensive rebounds. While the Hawks ranked second in points scored per 100 possessions, Miami’s physical defense stifled them Sunday. Tuesday’s game should be more competitive and higher scoring and the Heat should cover the spread as well. — Eric Moody

Will the Heat cover the spread again in Game 2?

Tyler Fulghum breaks down why he’s confident the Heat will win and cover the spread in Game 2 against the Hawks.

Best bet: Heat (-7.5) I picked the Heat to cover in Game 1 because the Hawks lack the overall talent to compete with a focused team of the Miami’s caliber. These factors remain true for Game 2, and the absence of Clint Capela will have a unique effect on Bam Adebayo. Adebayo will be free to wreak havoc defensively on the Hawks’ offense and limit Trae Young and the Hawks’ pick-and-roll/pop game. — André Snellings

Best bet: Bam Adebayo over 28.5 points + rebounds. Adebayo didn’t take full advantage of the Hawks’ weakness inside. The Heat outscored Atlanta 38-26 in the paint in Game 1. Adebayo was superb defensively, but will be more aggressive on the offensive end of the floor in Game 2 — Moody

Breaking down the rest of the slate

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies
8:30 p.m. ET, FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennessee

Line: Grizzlies (-7.0)
Money line: Grizzlies (-300), Timberwolves (+240)
Total: 241 points
BPI Projected Total: 223.8 points
BPI Win%: Grizzlies (71.1%)

Key players ruled out: none

Best bet: Anthony Edwards over 24.5 points. Edwards has been on a scoring tear for weeks. He averaged 27.7 PPG over the last six games in the regular season, before scoring 30 points in Minnesota’s play-in victory over the Clippers and 36 points in the Game 1 win over the Grizzlies. He also had four good scoring efforts in five games against the Grizzlies this season, and averaged 29.0 PPG in those four games. — Snellings

New Orleans Pelicans at Phoenix Suns
10 p.m. ET, Footprint Center, Phoenix

Line: Suns (-9.5)
Money line: Suns (-550), Pelicans (+400)
Total: 221.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 212.2 points
BPI Win%: Suns (86.9%)

Key players ruled out: none

Analytics edge

BPI highest projected totals

1. Memphis Grizzlies (120.1 points)
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (113.7 points)
3. Phoenix Suns (112.5 points)

BPI lowest projected totals

1. New Orleans Pelicans (100.2 points)
2. Atlanta Hawks (103.3 points)
3. Miami Heat (112.2 points)

BPI top probability to win (straight up)

1. Phoenix Suns (86.9%)
2. Miami Heat (79.4%)
3. Memphis Grizzlies (71.0%)

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